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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal: _0 b" H5 ] h
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007' {8 i. N' \+ P9 }' }
- Y' p: w K3 i6 ]" XEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.4 c; o8 `2 Z) A' I+ E9 f
- n g( J' n. h& P7 vLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.) n7 j; _% ]& i8 h
4 F) D" v K# m! ~, yResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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9 P! v. A( a$ z7 d; @8 ~- ?2 ONo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.: I6 F; }7 x( j# x. g4 @
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."1 ~% Q: F, n* T/ @' G, k
! e$ T/ ]7 M: N$ ?$ PWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.2 Q1 G+ T- C% R5 X( T( K3 R
5 b' w* R, ?) ~A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.5 R+ `9 j! @1 f' W6 L# a! j$ l
+ u" ?& ~, o( d9 _( A1 s/ T$ T1 AThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower., R+ L$ I, u# x, l( A
1 Z( i* r; Z# E, T1 ]$ \! {& U% wA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.& W0 W8 \- G) ]# H2 j; A; x0 z
8 f( w5 c) P0 O! Z% G3 L3 cAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."; O9 |+ L; Y& I5 R
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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8 l+ Z8 P3 L, Z7 R, x. v T- KBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.; a) P4 S" t5 b3 h
3 {" l" Z# J1 J% i: T"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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