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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
( M6 B7 M( I$ r. QPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.+ l5 {- a3 R. v1 h" c5 Q
, X7 A/ D& W$ S8 ^! S. j# w3 ~ b8 VLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.2 z: \9 B- y1 G8 ?9 d
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.1 p: i. c' ]: W C
! |% P: f- [. QIs this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?9 ]% [ P l9 c- z q% x) M
- u" {( n Z$ ?4 G) @No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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% e5 S3 ^' _' j! r: U' @ z6 sLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.. M; j1 q( Q' y2 T0 p+ V
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.$ ^0 P& r' Q, p, @" T# S: U& M. }4 M- e
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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- o* x# ?1 \: L: q; ~1 ]. ]Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."* \8 @( T( W. |, [: P3 k9 Z/ Z
- J2 B/ l X+ k) i: OThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.7 K& s6 A5 T0 L: r! F
6 v5 `- }$ Q) @: {Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.! R) `. ?5 S1 r5 c2 q3 f
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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