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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup/ N, O3 I) X9 D; \4 o. I
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Eric Bushell* S9 _) X9 d+ N% z$ D$ Z
Senior Vice-President,
2 P7 h" L+ J( c5 h5 {4 qPortfolio Management7 F' U6 s# s Z" R8 }; q% o
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets, m# H7 j! n D' L) a/ u8 g
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
" B- [+ K- X# vran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
& T7 R# A. e6 m, ]3 I UEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
" @% w% u9 z2 w! G3 v3 Aphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an6 }; X4 W5 p; a' N8 k4 |
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September% Q d5 k6 G0 j' d8 W* q
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble( x- F: e* N/ z$ h
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit1 ^( C" W! e0 {( Y
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
6 w5 Y- p8 k- P4 H7 g9 pfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
/ Z( ~' h- W% v1 _4 tU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond& s. m: j- q3 Y- u% P
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
/ g! M) k" ^* Q0 t# `" Suncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more( M) q" @" N. S8 P1 p1 m% C! ?
neutral risk positioning. |
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