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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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- u9 y2 I; d5 E/ x/ m# SSignature Market Roundup
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! w; X( w; y2 q! C( FEric Bushell
0 q6 ^( ~7 u! c9 Q/ v2 x( p4 RSenior Vice-President,+ E' V$ v3 _7 S7 L2 \1 A& Y
Portfolio Management! h) u& [' _) g4 z
and Chief Investment Officer0 ]& \3 L' q, J0 ]1 Q" Q b& a3 o
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。7 `: S8 q5 y @1 |' I, \0 k9 V
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets# z9 ~, s( [7 I9 ]9 ?
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
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European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second x4 V8 Y# k6 z% [3 [0 R
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an! B, d0 t; U& l
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
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for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
5 U' B; C* }# o% Xand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
9 C* `, n( R1 \0 D# Y# |! n" t* ?for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
& \9 P- X. |) @2 a" HU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond0 s F' D; C6 u
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
( z/ ^/ [4 _9 m* R" G e3 |uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
/ J5 y2 z1 t( B u4 I9 {5 j" m7 C2 gneutral risk positioning. |
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