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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
R6 `( H; c' |" [8 ^January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
0 E& C2 `0 \8 W# O+ M% l- usolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
" Y% x) S ^% Pchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
" I4 [9 x2 W& [) Precovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
" S* k/ R/ u& \4 z: R% ?emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could- o8 g7 Y7 A7 ]. g1 z; U! O
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.+ \ ^3 H1 o* [% o' X
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of5 v- W* d" D: }0 M( M9 L! K
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are) e' H! b$ L& v8 e) _
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
2 {# L+ }" j2 ^& _. DBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
p W+ [+ ]3 ~9 i; O# _/ T% V+ T, Ffinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a; C+ z0 D* }9 b# v N
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.$ }% t: ^( f' |! F0 H* G0 [/ W
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects2 ~8 d. o$ {3 k
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
9 w) @9 Q+ g, t& Q( A2 ]performance.
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( h& L. p1 t- V; S) PWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the3 _. u# B7 c9 G
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the0 I- x3 N* |" b3 g6 H4 S+ x6 U
considerable slack in the economy.8 H/ i( M6 v5 p! {& q
o1 z! l# C! n4 U+ MReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate9 z" I+ W l- R! v0 F
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the( b" Q& S2 G7 T9 e) {5 j
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further% \4 p2 Y4 o$ p! b
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
! f0 L, z L7 u sInformation note:( `( [9 M$ I# w
) Q- t# F0 F/ eThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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