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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market& W7 X# B6 i6 p( D4 e# `
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
) m( C3 n) c9 p$ g; b' C; wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 _, F6 o6 \8 M. I; |
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" ^. |8 x& V* ] M
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- r8 B# y3 O# s
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& z5 ^$ W- M5 H2 d, jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. {3 b& v' r7 p Q0 d
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* u9 @1 V0 b: V q5 W& Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal% i8 K+ U+ u$ `5 b* l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# l, f2 _6 Y& m. m3 |5 y, j, S0 F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 ~/ H* P) H) Win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' | b$ L. C7 `& nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# ?- } U* |3 sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' c/ h: j$ g, ^- Q3 f; p8 F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* l+ R& l) H4 {( j% X6 B! |
4 r- s3 K5 B9 a {1 XActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 s3 Z/ e" y* e& r" s+ V5 Z" ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 e& Y3 w# @# ?! kGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' y$ \1 t, R* q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 f( h6 l4 l- k( J# q( sbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; y+ A! I7 M3 L7 fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, S, T& [- {, v6 U
supply.1 Q, W2 Q+ o7 l
+ {1 i0 {0 F7 [2 r1 pIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 V' J0 G& P0 M [% x3 ]9 B& n7 Q9 o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 p& U+ @ {8 u7 y/ X0 g
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
1 d- U# e9 {* c% r+ H% h3 [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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) ~& P( p: W5 |1 PGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* O/ x2 s& Z' C( j" h: c$ Q1 t( Bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ G' r" }8 x7 Udevelopments.
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! @) T+ h" i9 s0 wInformation note:
6 V) P) t6 T( d/ z& Q6 kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# D2 ~# }% l, kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; @8 H: |: _4 g9 s4 K9 Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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