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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: S M8 \5 [# K+ o, p( r; d
. P0 |' q0 N, gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. k9 U s7 z I( X
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 a+ G0 q) [ g9 ]1 W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 X7 E% P5 |3 Qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate., y7 {4 U3 R& `1 K
; A# n4 u- d8 pThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with+ |* }0 H( l" }' h% o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ }8 Z; z! f! m1 X0 M% I' u
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' h8 C6 |) {. |) y0 t9 S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 S/ g1 v( g# x1 y+ p0 y
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 K5 k/ ~3 l4 `( F, R! F2 i: s, Sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& ^" F9 ^+ a5 V- W
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) |1 |" M% C3 Y7 zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, F3 |4 o) l* l3 ? e2 S( [' A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 D" e' f& K8 K( y9 w. {spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' V. j: ^7 ~, f) i Hprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
8 z% U: ^: B& G, k1 ^& j ?, c
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) f6 W4 E2 x/ k( F2 e: j1 oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" Q9 t( a1 S2 n& J" K. DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 G0 l' K( }# E2 i* I+ S) M% Bincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: [* V( x F5 R: Q! n2 T* [
balanced recovery.. W" t* \6 q6 A/ M( _( S
* e0 }" q: f4 x: zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 x* p5 ]: O: tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ \- i9 b6 n _% R. d
supply.! y# u$ J/ r `
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
6 S8 w4 ^; \# \: _2 ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ d' v5 c, H- L# I) D
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 g6 Q- Q- g) X# U+ T! H( X1 C
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 R' \* R. E# a. v! ]% b/ E- ~* @, m
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 P7 S6 q6 v8 v" k1 w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
h: q; S1 z' ydevelopments.% m( L' O- ~1 V& }0 @
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Information note:
! D. W& j4 A2 Q! _* rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 P. o$ s& p# G$ P8 cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 E8 @( b, Y1 [6 S6 a; R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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