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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: E! N' g( a% t: g+ O4 M Q' i" w
% r2 B, W0 ?8 A1 lOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- O; o+ s" m8 H d
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 w3 S: }; ^0 V/ zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 }! T" f# D! ` b5 |3 w2 woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& n+ |9 l% F9 |8 m1 Q) fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 Z2 }' I! Q% H) c% Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. w7 d' ?2 g$ S0 l" x
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 |" Y9 {! ^/ u5 |+ U" a
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
Z4 h Q$ H0 D" m aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 [+ V% w6 y0 k( x4 G6 ~stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 _0 j) U! P. @1 U7 Y4 T7 A' o) v7 G
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, t( r7 @* L6 m, g8 P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, t# t0 o+ V0 o. G6 i
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. }3 C4 b. Q. X( J0 e6 ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
X3 s+ C7 ?) R% `/ ?prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 o7 E4 U- A) i: j
4 g$ s+ b, N/ o* L f9 VActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# `5 \6 x% w5 P3 r. P
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& P. \) q4 V$ E3 t7 C( z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, c, F6 u' G$ O5 [) ?: ?
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 L' x% J3 K, \& `; F5 Vbalanced recovery.
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) f' Z8 Y3 k& e4 xCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- [, o& k6 C8 G% g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 C' j, z* N6 M# u, f6 C* Ssupply.
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+ [" ^1 M4 j1 W1 pIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 o7 \5 [8 \+ k, U& h* u+ Dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 ?8 U1 y. W6 ?
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
1 u2 u$ Z6 [- u/ W2 u1 n2 Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; k) n0 J4 X! o' j) |
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 S$ Y: {2 @7 [1 T- T8 K ~% T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( Q$ Y% h, I Cdevelopments.
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Information note:
! w* q3 |- S0 z% ]! N( F4 nThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 \# }4 d( Q. tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: \/ O$ i1 _3 ^% o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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