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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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' T; p3 q% u2 \, ^: o6 S( _9 Z8 ZThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.+ {) o# K f& V6 ]( c' t8 ~
* {. L G# ]. J. }% g: i0 ^& GUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market. p& j- J* `9 h4 R7 |" r( r2 s* x
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market." N g8 G! Q6 [3 q# [$ z, w9 s
& G* T* I; Z/ c. L1 tCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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