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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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! I7 j1 J! Y" T+ n, MThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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0 C- F c* X) {, U, NUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.: A J4 C9 g" a) Y$ [
7 B3 F* Z! l6 ^/ _7 M# VCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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3 U: S2 d3 H8 D; L5 K"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."- J4 Z. s1 R8 `, M9 s; m
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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6 f2 e* B; c8 I) x- H% k"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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