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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 4 ]2 K' J0 X9 u+ `% m! U
3 E& f" r1 N$ w+ d5 JThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. ' L4 |1 N$ h4 ?7 O
6 E8 W, C7 j0 a0 `The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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) _$ m/ Y- m/ C K: L* ^Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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" p% [# ?8 i6 M9 d( b4 y# L( YIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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7 z s' t$ f% o' l! e L"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. & l; N! N* C) L, o; X( K3 ^
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. " L' L) ?: J' c" g$ I- @' w6 A
3 P* c2 X8 y: b9 FThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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4 d# L1 m8 y: KCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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