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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 8 Q1 `/ y6 h4 s* l
4 ~6 C8 ]- u$ Y( l* E: sThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. ) h/ ~, ?- B! Y+ H0 {" E2 s
# ?5 H( X# Q4 {. \0 x3 ]+ mThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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2 _0 g4 w4 L& R5 J: X& lNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.; j2 V. w) e1 T7 ?
* @: q' K# M7 \2 M$ P$ jIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.) F' q2 `, g, k! u/ r" _* \- |9 c
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 2 E2 o7 I- h. U# ?7 U4 @1 e( K
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. + Q, W, d" O l' g% [8 f
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 ]5 W* U! t u: y1 m
( X9 e2 h; h3 x2 z# X# [CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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