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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ! V; M' F5 A5 q* Q5 `- F3 Z
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 i, F6 g) Q" L6 q, [. ?* z3 q
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. & K; D# W. b: i2 s
/ E4 R5 ^! }* YNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.& `% B( p' H$ p V$ G& ?8 {# ~0 p
{; e" i% h) p/ k- TIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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# \6 C0 O7 p5 x8 A"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." $ n$ J9 F1 J. b+ w! _2 I. b
+ ^; `5 u( U' q6 g6 ]5 Y; j% |It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. * M# V. _5 O2 o$ v+ V
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 1 O4 j8 o6 q3 x5 d
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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9 f. C3 w0 @- BCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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