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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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i2 {& r. Q3 ^! v) a0 [/ i B& x8 xThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. . R4 Z1 y& Z$ S2 h
' [& u3 O4 }9 O3 x! W2 LThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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$ ^1 U M' J) _7 |6 A"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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" F& P* X0 [6 D6 D- r% `9 ^4 fHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." $ M& p: q: Z- P$ ] ~
7 E9 j- `0 I4 ]% ^ B% Y* H9 wIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. # Y+ u8 O6 o& U5 t' j4 e. ]$ u) _4 X
3 ]5 {; [4 g0 w2 VThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 0 l5 e# J) x' Y4 ?& `
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009. u1 W2 o/ x! X3 B e0 E' m
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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