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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. % U/ m! D+ f: j; X1 y
6 `: l3 O g0 O3 wThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 f: j3 Q- V5 o; Z9 @& R
, M# Q* }# V" \6 `The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. & d: C0 ]' T, m% y. H7 e
$ T1 } r' Q, U7 ANow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.( e2 ~/ ^! l$ `
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. - r* x* C0 t. R1 x* A3 z
- A7 ?. j, ~6 s8 L# b) i( |However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.0 m) }3 l: U! \% V% w
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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