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EDMONTON – By the end of the year, Edmonton could get something it hasn’t seen for several years — a “normalized” housing market — as homes for sale dry up and prices drop . ) J! B' l& y; A6 v5 c
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That’s the forecast contained in the House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast released Thursday by Royal LePage Real Estate Services.
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A soaring number of homes put on the market especially by builders and speculators in the last year softened the city’s housing market during the second quarter, the report said. $ f) F e" V3 B v- Z7 F |
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“The high inventory levels will dwindle into the second half of the year, and as affordability improves, subsequent market conditions will continue to normalize,” the report said. ! a) [& d* V" u( R+ _
. y g h$ v ?" H. pAs of the end of Wednesday, there were 11,184 homes for sale on the Multiple Listing Service, according to the Realtors’ Association of Edmonton. 3 H% S- a) j$ A3 X; z5 F
/ k c4 X( R/ M4 [But Alberta’s two biggest cities still boast some of the most expensive real estate in the country, it noted. , \+ V! V! e* K& L$ _
8 {* b$ \% z4 z6 \7 y, B“Despite some mild price erosion during the second quarter in both Calgary and Edmonton, these markets remain strong. Although prices have come down from where they were last year — one of the best years on record — current house prices are far higher than they were three years ago before energy-rich Alberta experienced its boom.”
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: w6 x( Y0 P$ k2 D4 s6 z0 z+ SThe average price for a detached bungalow in Edmonton in April, May and June was $320,000, down about 14.5 per cent from the same period in 2007 ($374,143), Royal LePage said in its survey of Canadian house prices. 4 {- z( n1 D& ]
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In the second quarter of 2008, a two-storey house in Edmonton sold for an average price of $348,571, down 12.4 per cent year-over-year from $397,857. 9 R# n' _% U6 H/ b) g, d3 m2 z
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An average condominium in Edmonton was priced at $226,000, down 14.2 per cent from $263,333 in the comparable 2007 period.
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]% y* |5 f; G0 b0 n9 e9 D# k" U! @& P“A surge in inventory caused Alberta’s white-hot market to record the country’s only major-market price decreases,” the report said. # P. ~4 S0 t3 o2 a
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Across most of the country, average house prices rose, but more slowly than the spikes seen in 2006 and 2007.
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9 M3 D6 L: I0 v; U% Q# r3 pRoyal LePage forecasts the national average house price to rise by 3.5 per cent, to $318,000 by year’s end. 0 j2 d- D# |1 K
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The report predicts home sale transactions to decrease by 11.5 per cent to 461,000 unit sales by year’s end. |
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