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Oilsands an emerging global growth star6 b j5 E5 Y" d4 j: H. s
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030" {8 n; G: b! |
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal; `" [5 U; k2 p. e4 R4 |1 x; m& j
Published: 2:37 am( D, \) D( b' J. o$ M
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.1 k, @& U' s( k9 B
( [* K+ ~: x- J4 s( Y# x$ B4 dOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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% I- e5 J4 K/ M, ^* H3 i- v$ MOil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.1 ^6 \( h% }: W$ x
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.! V( Z% I$ x' p# m
Larry Wong, The Journal& N( R, L+ u4 z" M8 |
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.2 T. j& g( W# P1 Z+ u
: C6 d# @! C0 g. r* Z" FExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.; m, j( m$ R' t4 B5 _* w1 D6 H
7 j$ r! k" X8 _# g3 @Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.# q' ]% l3 s2 Q$ o( `; @
' j" `; Y( t% g4 ^- _: zWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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