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Single Family info update Oct 1-10

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鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 15:13 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
Edmonton Single Family Home
- D) {  Q: O1 e1 R) b  c" U2 v, IMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
3 B7 f' Z: \7 Y- g% g) ~% ?Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
1 P2 D! w4 w* x4 F' L& ~Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  6 V7 m8 O. e+ [; W* E

/ B: X+ A" t: FOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%! w8 k) q+ w- T: Y# p
8 E% J" c: Q# n- q" r2 s( a
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%; f8 l. o  g! Q! M! t% P2 Z
- Z/ V2 V2 G8 @/ g5 V0 x
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
5 Z/ J* H' h! V3 P2 z4 q ; X% j( }% V- `: {- c# T4 F2 w
Jul 2007& C8 h0 F2 N5 x. U: a+ Y
NA4 u) U4 ]$ |* O0 [; c
2328
* j" N5 Q) Q+ p/ q2 i 717
- E; W4 n: C( s5 S! H' H" D 442,752  j8 n6 r- [) v
410,000
( q, q! M1 Q$ h' K. a! i7 q 3204 C: B( R' v/ {5 Y$ `1 k" @- e
28
2 H' Y: U& v5 G( g( a; W 31%
8 d  |% p2 [' ^$ o6 J. O$ n
/ }1 b7 T6 l/ z- H# ], Y' fJun 2007# b5 Q7 s5 o  Y: X
NA
8 B% U8 M3 S6 X/ J2 t4 | 2661" v9 Y3 S7 T. i: D  Y1 K
1011
- `0 P1 }* C; e9 i" t/ C  p5 y7 H& ^ 442,817
7 S: a  R/ r* u- z* d 409,000! S+ @; e( \$ O% ]7 i
328; S8 k6 Y# H  `2 I8 }' H9 H, W
22; D$ G- ]* Y: {- G& X  p
38%
( u. {2 x0 ~/ x5 i6 H  {0 _
, y2 M& s* f. oMay 2007: P2 T( b* r4 {2 L  q3 g+ ]; A5 o
NA
5 `9 k# O" n0 d/ m" u 2288
6 c5 t, U  j9 z1 z! u7 i$ W( ^ 1261
! i" n& Q) v! \, j1 K6 g) j0 w( b 451,216
3 w- x: ~- z6 i! x; t 415,000
, e% L; Y# S3 u. F7 z 322
: F% d( W6 }8 ~5 V 19
; P& Z1 F' [+ J1 n 55%
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2007-10-16 21:03 | 显示全部楼层
存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%+ h1 _2 M4 j1 L7 Y, d! q# p
鉴定完毕!
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 21:25 | 显示全部楼层
看来,存货似已见顶。) q, ]8 \$ h7 F- t" j
这几天,在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(49) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-16 22:45 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 00:22 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
" ~0 M: z  B! A6 s: v& k  D存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%" w7 U( c# S1 t: ^  h3 s* |
鉴定完毕!
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用十天的数据来和30天的比较,鉴定结果可靠吗?
Z
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发表于 2007-10-17 06:36 | 显示全部楼层
1)房价持续下跌,每尺从303跌到295。
/ I( ~' X; d5 y- o2)成交房里大房子比重上升,使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。5 j1 U8 m7 Y3 W9 L1 \1 A; {, v
3)存量惊人。每年秋冬,存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素,存量其实是增加了。
Z
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 06:42 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
% R0 ~9 j8 F/ a9 ?存货降151, AVG.PRICE涨0.53%/ ^  e+ V5 L; o) M- G
鉴定完毕!

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  f1 {2 H  \) ?4 B7 j% D5 @3 W呵呵,太不专业了吧。5 w( |# R' H. `: `2 i' [6 |* v

& T0 j" S, l# Q5 G新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量; ~, Z; Z0 [; X! c4 V, g2 D( v

, S, q& `  N- j$ R7 j- |6 r就是说, 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量/ |, ~" n9 D6 L: X0 ^5 C* f0 n2 S- Z
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这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量,你的算法也太粗糙了。
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 08:01 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
2 ^, S- ~7 k( dDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.
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鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2007-10-17 08:04 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
- w% y! g1 @" J: V4 d* mDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

+ a2 _# [. y9 l1 g8 d' C" A+ i
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 09:09 | 显示全部楼层
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.: d" q9 d% M- c$ g0 J
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?, k" V! k6 q% ~, I
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?* f7 x2 q8 \; h, f7 o
That is what i say half full or half empty.& D: y+ {, ]* K" [1 k" h" x
good luck for people seeking their house.
鲜花(17) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 09:23 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
% Y, t7 N7 l# ~. cIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
1 H% X, u# s. n1 B4 ~. VIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
+ q8 r4 L9 G  r% U% K$ rHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...
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( d( I( O5 V& a# d, R7 |7 R* T9 KI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
同言同羽 置业良晨
原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表 4 c' w" ]: e. {  G$ O: q
Edmonton Single Family Home " S" T! G- u0 \
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
9 [) ?2 F1 Z7 P& z% D9 ]) x) ]Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
& a& a. E0 u( x) qNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

9 ^  e. C/ k- N6 t/ nQWE321: 这些数据来源于何处?是否可靠?又无网站连接?
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
 楼主| 发表于 2007-10-17 12:32 | 显示全部楼层
鲜花(3) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 12:34 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
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I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

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理袁律师事务所
鲜花(27) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2007-10-17 15:46 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
( ^7 Y/ T  z# |/ X1)房价持续下跌,每尺从303跌到295。
% j: z4 k9 S" e2)成交房里大房子比重上升,使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
: R9 D- ]+ K, |3)存量惊人。每年秋冬,存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素,存量其实是增加了。
) I- p3 k3 ?" |: k

. h$ F3 h( X4 L. B下半年,存量通常会持续增加,以卡城为例,参考下图:9 k9 j$ V$ W; Q( o) u/ y5 _  o1 b0 \
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  x% L* p+ S2 I. q# f* w7 B

* e( L- w5 a+ A! |% B* C% C只有去年例外,存量在年末锐减。
大型搬家
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发表于 2007-10-17 16:09 | 显示全部楼层

回复 #16 WST 的帖子

同言同羽 置业良晨
上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
! s$ _/ a4 x8 k5 D, v看来,观察days inventory 更重要。
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