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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.2 d3 ?0 M8 ^2 f; N/ D; D7 y. n4 u
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
0 F0 ^$ ?: P! }$ B2 ?If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
9 W% ^# u) H9 c4 V8 @TD can give you 4.2%.
6 R& U- c8 T5 O( u3 I) DBMO can give you 4.3%.
8 f& r3 s, o$ ~; `* g, ?RBC can give you 4.0%.
* E& r, d$ ]0 S1 O# F* d3 P$ g(Roughly)- ]) y0 P: Q+ t2 q1 Q
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
8 X3 y4 R0 B3 m+ I' S& M* H7 FAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.) s7 D$ u5 W/ }# i, W5 e' ]
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again./ b/ T2 Q2 o/ T# W& s6 D& b) d2 U5 |& h
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.0 G& Q5 o' P- G6 E$ o! i
Rough calculation:
7 l: L) I7 _/ k9 URight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
3 t. q/ F; o- K- ^Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
. ]) O! }$ [ cDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040004 E: u T) R+ d: M) a! a. m5 g
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.# ~$ y" h, B4 i9 f/ r
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.* [: d+ @9 |" m0 ]0 ^1 q/ d
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.3 O9 D5 G0 u2 m+ D. N: N/ B# x% p
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.0 s$ k5 j- D. H
5 y6 Q: |3 w% x' TAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2007-9-16 10:59
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