 鲜花( 88)  鸡蛋( 0)
|

楼主 |
发表于 2015-9-11 09:37
|
显示全部楼层
5 k; S: F3 k( c6 RBy Barani Krishnan4 \4 l, R' W% ~- ^
X" G( l0 E( V: i% ~8 D
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude futures fell on Friday after Wall Street's most influential voice in oil trading, Goldman Sachs, slashed its price outlook through next year, citing oversupply and concerns about China's economy.& M! {! K( E% {
- z- u4 {- w- V( |9 b
Joining Germany's Commerzbank and a long list of other banks in cutting price projections, Goldman lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62.
$ D, S' U) Y0 J0 |8 h+ O" E. T. V1 K
"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note entitled "Lower for even longer".
" Q9 V8 ~! N1 | ~, S. t6 a4 b& J& b. B, y% u6 L
Citing "operational stress" as a growing downside risk to its forecast, Goldman said crude could fall further to near $20 a barrel. "While not our base case, the potential for oil prices to fall to such levels ... is becoming greater as
! @% P. X4 b& a5 ^! u/ g% V( `( [& e+ m6 [$ T+ I
storage continues to fill."
5 [5 `# w# M" r- O* `1 N
" G6 C( Y/ \) ^- Q3 W6 \U.S. crude futures' front-month contract <CLc1> was down $1, or 2.2 percent, at $44.92 a barrel by 11:54 a.m. EDT.' b6 ~. e7 \- A2 t! [& ^
& ?/ F6 B Q$ Z$ Z$ e7 E
The front-month in Brent <LCOc1>, the global benchmark for oil, was off 70 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $48.19.
- o, h9 C1 ?8 K3 W7 S' L! D! o2 n! i% J ~* K( t5 G* P
Both crude benchmarks had fallen about 3 percent, before paring loses with stocks on Wall Street. The U.S. stocks have provided direction to oil over the last two weeks as investors grappled with mixed fundamentals for crude.8 B0 G$ \7 q& ]$ h% f ?+ `
; @' t. N4 R* YThe oil market is waiting next for a weekly reading of the U.S. oil rig count, due at 1:00 p.m. ET. The data will show for whether oil producers were cutting back on drilling as prices head lower again after a brief rebound in the second quarter.+ s2 I& }0 k8 l$ n; e: t4 L
1 N- ?- y; n9 E/ G/ h; l8 S5 b
Crude prices have more than halved over the past year, with Brent tumbling from nearly $120 a barrel in the middle of 2014 to below $43 last month. Prices collapsed as a global glut of crude pushed commercial and government inventories to all-time highs.
- F9 h# y/ j" O9 W0 j( G3 K; G! w# ]
Analysts say the market is rebalancing, but high stocks will keep weighing on prices into next year.& F: S+ f8 u8 N1 k
0 ]& _& O; N1 |& M' n/ ?7 I9 g% _Germany's Commerzbank said Brent was likely to trade at $55 by the end of 2015, and around $65 by end-2016.
4 v7 {' G3 f+ i
) t3 Y1 Q9 Z1 w. i I, m( ?Investors shrugged off a report from the Paris-based International Energy Agency, which advises the world's biggest economies on energy policy. The IEA said a move by the world's big oil exporters in OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, to defend their market share by not reducing production, appeared to be working.* K1 P. W" W, u$ W0 W& w
7 o3 S, V9 y4 L; J( n: w# ?(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington and Christopher Johnson in London and Meeyoung Cho in Seoul; Editing by Nick Zieminski and David Gregorio) |
|