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Samuel Wesley · The University of British Columbia (UBC)( `: R! z9 b9 S
As of today, Oct 12th, CBC Poll tracker has NDP in dead last in seats$ E- o" t- s5 m
BC, NDP is 3rd, but close to the LPC and CPC lead* ?* n3 m, J0 H p/ x) B& `& B* C
Alberta, NDP is dead last by far, only 2 seats: c1 k8 L5 b1 l3 }
SK/MB, NDP is dead last by a wide margin, only 4 seats9 Q: t4 @3 ~: w: X) h( R& h
Ontario, NDP is dead last by a huge margin, only 15 out of 121 seats
2 o: j, D4 r, F- I6 @Quebec, NDP popular support continues to slide but still leading in seats at 429 T6 Z4 I i& D! _+ `3 d# `
Atlantic, NDP is deal last by a large margin, only 3 seats
3 X; y% z7 C1 pNorthern Territories, NDP will possibly get 1 of the 3 seats.
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* Y, L9 V( k# P; G# w$ ]The CBC estimates that NDP will lose its official opposition status and likely get only 70-80 seats… however, if the months long trend of NDP decline continues, NDP would be projected to win only 50-60 seats.0 `8 l0 {( a6 B7 }+ Z9 T/ X
It’s very unusual, normally NDP get elected before getting decimated. Some possible factors could include the NDP win in Alberta, where NDP has made a bad situation worse, much worse. Or perhaps because the AB NDP refuses to release their budget before the federal election, indicating that it will be a big embarrassment. Or maybe just simple pragmatic reasons, people realize that the NDP platform betrays its historical supporters and that the planks hold no weight.
$ c0 ]3 a T) z* O; V. ]The election will tell, but Tom is dead wrong if he thinks the NDP is still in the race. |
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