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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal5 ]5 _7 k9 A; j; e
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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& N/ [, {/ ~0 k/ A! | f3 I" W+ ZEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items." m4 x1 _: Z, B$ r
2 O& _: @' M+ _3 x) `3 sLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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. L8 `, K2 C- o; h0 l" _Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.1 ^: R: r$ p @# @' C
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?8 ~: s% E( s" p* ?$ G! L' i" X6 |
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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0 R: S4 c. U: l$ W: r- pLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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" n; w4 b. Q2 }1 [$ ~When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.9 N0 E3 {6 ^# J, y) b
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.2 o5 r- q3 p) f9 h5 a$ I1 {6 m
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.5 z) i3 S1 @7 q- `+ L8 q7 n5 H
- B% ^3 K8 f9 {" p8 k. C* vA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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3 @& Z" g- x6 E" v1 wAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."+ ?* e/ f' ^+ i
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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; O4 y4 O: b6 w5 s$ rBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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