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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
7 w5 W* ^; x8 r2 T. PPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007% p ~! q; H" E- a: {
b) ~/ D2 c4 UEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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* R: I$ C0 { P4 r- qIs this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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7 L+ z; `$ G% F3 @No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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y; g; d5 K5 I0 T" M( J9 s( k& G, iWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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" U% }7 v: N* c0 vA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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9 I/ r/ Q: t( q- v" Y) vThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower., U2 ?1 b2 e4 y8 D7 W
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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3 n4 @! N, t3 L# `Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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) L! W' z+ ~- R+ n6 W# A. dBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.% u6 q3 r. X3 F3 A- o9 F# B3 G& r
% B# d. @. I" ]! ?"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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