 鲜花( 0)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
5 S& j. R0 p9 i3 a2 L) b0 [4 jPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 20072 I! ~3 ^. L# ~9 d# W7 s1 c% D% l
# i. ^+ n9 P/ K9 h& ?EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
6 e" T; U6 F+ d% l+ _9 j. P( o' U
' X/ X" n4 c% r& k- h$ mLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
9 T$ g# s. \. s2 {8 k* Z/ w" k( E$ r% L$ {3 t$ q
Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.8 m [7 h; `0 b1 n) m
+ E* h: |% }3 I( u* l& r
Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?! c1 j( ]: A$ O& G; ~) C' P: k4 a- m
3 r( X7 l8 S. B ZNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
2 j' p0 K! H" u, `2 H, E
1 K! Z! x+ I/ [+ jLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
5 m% Y. k$ X8 X/ H+ j% o
. v: Q" S. U: }. q, M# P1 A- u" X% gWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
& F! @% }( d. j' [) r# f" K9 u- B. C- R4 r
A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
6 Q) k$ s* }4 s! P% O; v. R2 X; {, G: H
The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
# M$ b* L3 p3 X1 r3 Q% g* B
& _/ `: ~: b# M# p$ n- g- v' sThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.# } O9 Z9 T: i$ M. m# J
2 s6 i1 N) w+ D3 \& a/ a6 I8 Q6 YA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
: G" M! q* \/ S$ z) N9 n |( @' e1 n3 [! `" J* K5 W7 U* \# S! f) I$ U
Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
w7 e& n5 a$ g$ t- S
" m; x) E% |$ y& wThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise., s: T' ^$ _* E8 b5 B8 [
9 q' h* E4 b& |5 l. H5 e9 R
Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.1 `7 C% W4 `1 y
3 ^" `- i6 e0 U% {"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
|