哈哈

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 09:52

如果天天这样，明年就可以在中国退休了，5年后就可以在加拿大退休了

老杨 · 发表于 2007-1-3 09:56

看来你又赚钱了

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 10:08

赚钱和挤XX一样，挤挤还是有一点

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 10:11

恭喜

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 11:16

are you into commodities and forex ?

didnt see US$ coming up so strong suddenly. Expect oil base commodities drop and pick up near term.. as expected.. Cocoa seems like a good buy now, lots of Hedgefund is eyeing on it....

expect a fall through in the next few days....

I love this market.....

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 12:23

I am not dealing too much with future and commodities.

My major investment are stocks, fund and currencies.

[ 本帖最后由如花于 2007-1-3 11:26 编辑 ]

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 12:46

no options ? It's a fun market to be at too... when market is highly volatile.

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 12:47

I prefer long term investment. I don't want my cash outflow from my investment due to tax on CG

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 12:49

原帖由 精打細算 于 2007-1-3 11:46 发表* P V, a ?% j* d
no options ? It's a fun market to be at too... when market is highly volatile.

warrents

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 12:55

I cann't get sleep if I am holding with that stuff. Rather than that, I would like to keep sth stable

望明月 · 发表于 2007-1-3 13:00

看来两位都是行家啊!
能介绍我们家当家的跟你们认识认识吗?
他把玩股票当爱好,可惜身边没有相同爱好的朋友.

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 13:02

乐意之至

望明月 · 发表于 2007-1-3 13:05

原帖由如花于 2007-1-3 12:02 发表0 D5 u( G7 n: m( B* D+ O
乐意之至

谢谢!

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 14:58

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 15:09

原帖由 望明月 于 2007-1-3 12:00 发表
f, t' A/ H, C$ H, s3 L$ Z# Z0 S看来两位都是行家啊!
- W+ @, Z0 m/ N" J- A( n" F能介绍我们家当家的跟你们认识认识吗?- f9 C" ?4 l3 Z# _ T6 D( G
他把玩股票当爱好,可惜身边没有相同爱好的朋友.

偶非常欣赏如花的眼光及视野。说实在，投资了20多年，想找几个人聊聊也不容易啊。

原帖由如花发表
- j4 l" n" b9 tI cann't get sleep if I am holding with that stuff. Rather than that, I would like to keep sth stable

Hard to find people with similiar interest. Most guys I met were either gambler or funder.

currently split my portfolio into 40% property, 30% insurance portected Seg fund, with high risk golbal investment portfolio, 20% US/Canadian Stocks and 10% on deriviatives such as options, commodities and Forex. That is why I am up most of the time for London market, to monitor the currency fluctuation and prepared for arbitrage on NY / Chicago commodity market.

Doing life insurance otherwise, and lots of volunteer.

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 15:24

过奖了。

65%-70%在亚洲股市，打算再加
15% 在欧洲
10%是金属股，基金
不到4%是能源

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-3 15:36

原帖由如花于 2007-1-3 14:24 发表$ M; g# X$ J6 F( o4 o4 h; i
过奖了。
1 O: _6 k  e: i" M
& h; P& e$ X  Y% o6 i+ H65%-70%在亚洲股市，打算再加% N8 r0 d; J! T/ |" ]
15% 在欧洲  Z4 d8 u6 o$ Z5 h" Z1 p
10%是金属股，基金" [& `7 `* V( T( i$ ]5 Y
不到4%是能源

risk taker !!!

100% money into equity.

Suggest you consider minor % into lower risk investment. At least keep aside some just in case. Do you have insurance coverage too ?

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-3 15:45

risk comes from sth you don't know

[ 本帖最后由如花于 2007-1-3 15:18 编辑 ]

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-4 13:09

原帖由如花于 2007-1-3 14:45 发表
0 j% @# S2 e( N! W2 I/ \risk comes from sth you don't know

or something you wouldn't expect it to happen.

Heard of the "Titanic Effect" and Murpheys Law ?

One of the most crucial area in financial management is Risk Management. Never overlook the unexpected.

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-4 13:13

My rule is never purchase that I don't understand.

Keeping my money safe is more important than increasing it

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-4 13:51

原帖由如花于 2007-1-4 12:13 发表
- X5 A) l9 y; Q: L3 {, A6 j; E& LMy rule is never purchase that I don't understand. & p% e$ K" Z% \) I& t
+ r' j! H& C) z6 l9 ^" h
Keeping my money safe is more important than increasing it

lesson well learned. I bought a Nasdaq newly listed company from Nevada last year, something related to China by the name of CESV, one of the 3 stocks from China successfully listed, tought it was worth the risk due to the financial report, selling energy saving bulbs and others... with good ratio, revenue etc.... ended up a hoax ! lost 10k

fortunately made back somewhere else *whew*

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-4 13:53

with election at sight 2008, I see a bull run in the currency market. US is getting stronger every day. haa haa haa

sell sell sell....

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-4 21:21

对于美国的市场，我看不明白，一方面，地产市场不景气，另一方面，各项数据又不是太差，股市又创新高。我觉得是不是投资者对美国的地产不景反应过度，不过不明白的东西就不去搏，6月份我已经没有美股了，而亚洲的股市又是那么吸引，08年奥运，07年中国减税由33%至25%，人民币升值，就算近日美金反弹，但对人民币还是一路下跌，可见人民币的势头更为强劲。印度的增长迅速。上述一系列因素都有助区内经济增长。不过美元贬值过快也有坏处，损害了中国的出口（中国出口约占GDP40%），不过希望奥运、减税可减轻损害。欧洲经济以内需为主，对出口依赖不高。

一些中东油资从美国撤出转投欧洲、亚洲，欧元已经取代美元成为第一流通货币，还有值得一提的是伊朗提出以欧元结算石油，俄罗斯也有以卢布结算的野心，以上都是对美元不利因素。

所以，我还是那句话，I never purchase sth I don't understand.

[ 本帖最后由如花于 2007-1-4 21:13 编辑 ]

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-5 08:11

往年美国市场每逢有大选，当权者会推高美元汇率，以强势美元向人民显示债务在执政党领导下有所减少。我从去年11月已经留意美元走势一段时间了。果然不出我所料，涨得高。随而来之的是原产品期，石油货价格狂跌，等，令经济显得一片欣欣向荣！

主要的问题是，这几年美国的经济靠的是房地产支撑。平均美国人消费已经比所赚得还来得多，每逢信用卡数到期时，就用房屋贷款还债，越借越多，同时，信心也越来越大，将房屋涨价当成必然，当提款机使用。只要利率有些变动升高，泡沫将会爆破！迟早而已。

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-5 08:31

留意图表显示。美国房产价格最近几年几乎是每年往上涨，去年的跌幅也是历史罕见。灰色为历年 recession 年代。

同时，房屋买不出去的情况有所增加，也是历史罕见。

同时，将房屋贷款重贷提钱的情况已经慢下来了，可是，也是历史新高。

如花 · 发表于 2007-1-5 16:37

通缩就要来了

精品中年老男人 · 发表于 2007-1-5 17:02

搬个马扎在旁边听听。

冰糖葫芦 · 发表于 2007-1-5 23:05

您都大款了还去网上捞金币

受不了你了

精品中年老男人 · 发表于 2007-1-5 23:26

原帖由 rounde 于 2007-1-5 22:05 发表
Y6 n) I7 S3 R+ ~7 c; m您都大款了还去网上捞金币
* u/ N( \! I, k y
1 l7 G+ W9 j/ _" _受不了你了

不是说我吧？？

精打细算 · 发表于 2007-1-6 11:44

应该是如花

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