there is a difference between peony (SHAOYAO) and tree peony (MUDAN), let's assume you meant SHAOYAO which is pretty common in Canada. m! w: k8 y" y6 P$ Y2 ?3 H3 K6 n! v
first year no chance; 2nd year 50/50 (99% chance to bloom if you were in central china ); 3rd year 95% given that you treated it the right way.