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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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! n6 W3 l0 A* D0 t" M9 SSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell8 b0 d* V, A# y$ w
Senior Vice-President,/ H3 q. J* f3 b4 o! \) N( G
Portfolio Management4 J* B" h6 \% Q, Z
and Chief Investment Officer6 P9 C z) \) U" K, k2 Z
9 _. R- T9 g! ]% ]! C自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。& ^/ M) h: b- m( \ m8 P- h
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets+ r' d1 D& `: R: B$ G. c
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase" o2 c6 u" P- E! K: q6 e7 P" r
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the* p. U5 b1 o" y$ q. z# K
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second! K1 u* E& W' N L: ^8 c
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
. _4 w7 @' g/ Iunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September8 }- x2 T' u; s! y- g0 l* V1 U5 u2 M
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble9 y! `' P" ~9 Q9 Q, V7 _3 O
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
/ i! `2 m# k7 _0 ?' f7 cand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
9 z) v7 v: v" p0 Q5 o# Afor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
$ }' W: i, c X h7 o* Z7 `5 wU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
7 G! e2 a$ ~; O6 B2 i Z6 rmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
/ j- `4 `# k8 o6 H" B4 Z( Huncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
7 X, s$ M {/ H! |- {* rneutral risk positioning. |
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