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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 , X q: B M7 N$ s; y
- g! i/ c' J- D* d! {- p$ w1 CSignature Market Roundup# x1 m2 S1 E% X. ]3 y8 U
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; w( o& \ Z6 r0 [5 C7 v5 jEric Bushell
3 h" b) p7 N: k1 nSenior Vice-President,/ h+ |6 R& O' c0 D: `1 F' t6 j& k
Portfolio Management
7 A- s; {, p7 r8 g5 }( Dand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets" T% W( @# m1 a/ o' ?
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase: m+ q9 }, r: H9 P0 R) s3 f! ^
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
, s% m5 J4 [: o, @ LEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
2 a0 {2 J1 \$ ]2 U; n# ophase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
9 B7 v6 d1 f6 H/ A1 @! [unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September4 V2 ~7 Q) F7 i, @( a
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble) t. I! N) ]' K2 Y
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit' ]* W- D' i5 r, K# T' J
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects4 p2 ^/ r. H' y2 `& o$ T
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through1 a% h/ z, t) k% \7 J. n
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
4 }& G0 C3 [/ N7 X7 pmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
; s6 F c/ ?" F: u8 p& V4 Euncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more# ^% i7 W; P$ k/ J% A
neutral risk positioning. |
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