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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑
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5 Y7 ~ W) V2 ^) N: [The US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.
9 p+ r( X1 X$ K9 X6 B+ g* H) U* q- r嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。
" a) E/ ~1 K t现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。
+ }& v+ e" a: h参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2
! W5 A5 h4 g% ?! j5 H+ B5 C从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。3 E+ b. b+ V" q" K- H. y, S
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。1 {* j! a& f; [5 m1 `
今天早些时候出来的数据:6 \) N5 H0 @ h- d9 E
Economic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. ( u0 M/ m9 V. r3 U* i
股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。
/ q8 F% D, m$ T9 t1 {5 ? R' d7 ^种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。
0 I. k- s/ T2 |2 C( Z- G短期看,OVERDONE。
% J& P& E) W$ e0 F7 l所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。, k: i0 Z# S: J6 ^
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至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。: P0 I4 Z" g- u0 A' g( B
因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。 |
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