本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑 1 Q4 N! F5 P7 W/ V ; t3 P. |' I% S7 G! ZThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.9 y' q$ X) q7 X/ `0 K
嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。) n! G6 Z' G" b- V
现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。 8 f* t$ o; t' X参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2 A9 m# |( t! w! N
从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。. O, v! C& C# b) y; Z
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。0 x% Z* a; L! Z6 ?: _
今天早些时候出来的数据: / v% n1 ?# z( T2 L2 j: NEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. 3 J* [* d4 U5 S7 y. B t股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。 , d2 s8 o) E% ]* `: Y& G种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。 . S0 O( S. y, w0 M短期看,OVERDONE。 4 a& D+ C$ F; w3 B; A& R所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。 $ p5 m' B1 k( h3 Y2 F! e3 d; h0 T- \4 Z7 O9 h' v- S
至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。/ [1 C. p. y; B3 a+ \ k& o
因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。