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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 @7 K+ i, S) N/ gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 Q- X2 d& y4 f3 B7 ?
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 w, F4 H& j* G2 h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 e' Q9 J$ Z5 O' d8 x n
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 f! b' U! q" V5 ^( N, ^2 d5 E3 O
% v" A. V( n3 h" B% nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 {, ]8 [+ V& j/ U# E2 M$ W2 j G5 L
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 ]/ d5 v- U+ p( W) v0 z0 _
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness( x6 c! z% d' A4 ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 m5 ?) c) v l! ] y& R- P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
) }! C7 A7 @, F% U6 estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# ~% o" `9 O8 x7 b& fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ i2 h V( X( V8 w* ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& t: a3 E$ D; W, ?6 cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 ^) F/ Q9 E# g( |! M8 r* N. C
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, y% X- A6 F+ x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* `+ F& B+ p, f$ m- G
2 m: n) Q# O% M; n) dActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. N$ n! R1 U, t- kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 v! [+ `7 J, x9 ]
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 s3 ?. ~* L, z- E3 w$ Lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 Y% y, R/ U4 k* x1 h1 i( ^balanced recovery.3 O4 M7 \; Z! I5 @4 x4 O/ M
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& G; V7 I- v$ e" a; }3 b) b' `
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ B; O- h; K% t: V( b" m/ q
supply.4 e' x( W. \9 M8 z+ V/ v
# b. a9 L& L4 i* X/ Z. X6 H- DIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and Z0 b; t3 _, a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ) b0 R! k' k1 ~( r
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( H2 {- n) s; {1 B; T6 r+ tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., @& X$ ^/ q1 M- U X
2 k0 s' f8 l8 j9 ~% |" A& t5 fGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" I1 {$ W% V; I3 E; Z$ x4 z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) }- F1 C! [2 J& a: g6 {' ~developments.
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- i, }/ h. I. N% Z5 RInformation note:5 q4 r: a! U& |3 |
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 W/ d5 l/ S! p7 t- k/ y" |1 ~( yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 r8 | O6 m, B0 T5 U. I) b4 V5 _
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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