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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 S* D4 @. T2 y* B" ? b1 M7 U
: H" g' C7 B) _% Q( R; jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
3 B. v1 A* u, Brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" Z# L3 ?. L) C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( ?* e" @! e. Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 r) o- t1 s8 a8 Z7 n+ D9 o0 U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ ]0 I# n+ }# f+ O/ A" J+ q' L' Z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 [/ E9 ?$ p6 h. V# J9 t0 L9 x
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness d+ L& Z* c- B) p0 S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., G, S/ W; x0 }: J4 ]
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( u4 p( [/ S ~4 ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 v& T& n" ~! T/ [0 R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( \/ Y6 ^6 l/ ~7 X( zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# q2 Y: Y$ V/ o. L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 v1 k+ R# F* ]0 @6 G- ^spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 L3 R- l2 ^! ?- g( e5 S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
C4 X0 m! f) Z* t7 Ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* z4 Y k3 ?) d7 P9 ]1 e W0 K$ _- M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: ?. p; ~9 u3 R6 X: B8 Dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* s! U: h+ f8 Z$ b
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 u4 [7 z3 p1 }! hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 R8 @2 [5 I; s1 j, h, ssupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: G- D" R" W$ M' D8 s* y7 P4 g1 nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - w* `! Q" e5 E. c, S# Z
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 ^* g; ?$ j/ x3 A( d9 ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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5 z( ~7 [. u- ]0 JGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: G; o* }% n( ?
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 F$ F' [& i3 L) Kdevelopments.. E1 p z- H7 c
: Z w( s$ D. FInformation note:! j4 L5 \% }$ d+ E
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; V6 }; r; ]# ~: R2 w* U8 F( Z/ Eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' M7 p. |7 L8 x; B8 R& E Y/ v+ E
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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