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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 9 S$ Y5 n6 @4 R4 V
$ ?4 n: \ o4 ^The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 1 M( v7 ^! ]: e0 d; ~( b
( {% M/ z% o; O- o1 u! a. J sThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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" y3 L" q8 x; V7 K4 i0 INow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.& t7 |4 d! u: F2 t* G
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.+ |: p* R K+ P9 a8 q8 _
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 7 L. c/ j* S y
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 1 B3 U( y( t. c+ J5 \0 ]
* w2 }5 B1 D: s4 j' D& zThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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0 u Q( X: }9 ^9 y+ MThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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