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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ) I" `3 R4 X: w' C# h( r" ~; {
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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' e- b$ @: |# C9 I; G% EThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 0 E% @9 g' I/ D, a8 f, b
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.* C; L& R9 q" g3 F
2 d' D& x# @ a3 JIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. V' @: j2 b* s9 E
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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9 @8 j+ G+ A; ^' `It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 9 X2 c' x7 ]0 t- O5 B4 A, F
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 7 q9 r# I2 P6 H
& r7 w. h9 B" G$ QThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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( A$ s1 W$ b- B. X5 lCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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