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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 5 J: {4 B: K; ]( l, @( R
- z5 j/ ~+ ~9 P. M+ _The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 6 S! b8 m+ m- }' v
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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$ q' ]6 r; Y! P% LNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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4 Y+ A% G0 j- Z9 {$ P" `9 r8 FIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.) i2 a0 B4 S& i+ m7 l' B) i$ g/ w2 a
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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r! h1 I( ~& \However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. - ]! q9 _$ r! c0 s; S/ ?
: W8 v! ?3 g3 d+ ^7 h' z# {6 [+ bThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. $ y6 ~* v0 A6 z4 C
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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2 L/ n0 M* p# o- T7 ICMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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