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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. # [' ^5 ^! A7 f4 M" w6 Q, u7 f2 @
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 4 m8 E* E: b/ C& L& ]# x H0 A! B. a4 ?
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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" C4 T q7 \. K/ _3 y9 q6 H' lIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.2 N' p) ~% a$ @, q8 B8 I8 Z& e
a2 i) @0 D! q0 ~7 p6 L- @"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. " J+ ^# ]! J& X, d/ S" W: ^5 M8 k
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 7 Q4 |, i0 U% \0 r
! @6 T4 g6 G8 X: i; q: B5 e# lIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. ; m0 G- ~8 j! R- s9 t7 V4 q. m
. f1 V2 Z. T+ C* Z& f' ~. YThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 3 R9 ?( A2 N* {+ |- b Y5 G. P
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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