Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
  p9 b7 t/ ^; R+ `/ f! [Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
0 @& v. q- [0 @% S; N
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
0 Z7 X! Z& o; t+ j2 v/ {# N
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
# H  @8 k# C% V2 P2 t$ r
7 i$ I" o+ z5 f) Z5 DSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
2328
9 ^8 R7 Q/ Z8 `; t; s 717
442,752
410,000
320
28
! t! A) E/ J9 F. t$ Y0 t; @ 31%

, p/ Z2 n: h$ J+ `5 w3 W6 mJun 2007
  L0 X: k4 Q9 |5 g* Y' I5 c$ A NA
2661
1011
/ _& g, @! `8 H3 ~( G0 f 442,817
409,000
* T& n  ~% i3 S8 b6 W5 B/ G5 y 328
22
6 i+ S1 H, e2 v& M% } 38%

May 2007
) T; C' w4 F$ R# ]2 x NA
% E8 Q. G! K- |$ w 2288
1261
451,216
415,000
% l# w; Q' Z. z$ |6 w  o7 | 322
: X5 K# D4 b$ A% T: g' h* |3 J 19
* m9 e9 ^# G! P1 e 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
. Y$ ]: B! g* J2 [. V鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
% J) p1 D. j* l0 Z) `9 Z存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 f" a; `2 Q, J1 q# F$ c1 V! V鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
  T2 l: r' I) Y鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
% H! Z/ D4 [! B" Q- @# NDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

: t/ W5 H6 Z4 y% b6 h  w1 P

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

, a+ B1 ~4 s+ R2 Q/ B

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
  S: `  X2 [( z+ t/ EThat is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
. ?% b( b; @2 `* uIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
( o9 y4 a) P1 J; j1 X% J6 k1 YIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
+ Q$ g' z2 z- V7 KHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

" k% K, X. F4 BI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
% y4 m* |# X( b  H6 V* H& E8 eIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
2 g; S$ s6 m# n# F7 o2 e% pNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

3 b' g0 \5 S, ~% X# _9 ^QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
: k; w1 q' g/ K( M6 J! D  r6 x
) h7 L4 G  \" c% c' T5 R
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

( X4 J  {0 a7 C
( f1 A4 s# Y5 ^/ ?$ ]: G0 M$ K$ {# t2 b+ ?下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

8 e7 m8 G5 c2 P/ J2 b. m! w: R& [9 |9 A

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
0 `1 O3 H" x' M) y) E看来，观察days inventory 更重要。