Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

. V$ l4 r% N. [' c0 |Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
" F& b' `# Q1 ~0 W: o
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
2328
1 L& c8 e: w+ z4 V+ u- j9 z+ [ 717
442,752
6 }3 [( U- J2 h 410,000
: M: g6 [+ [0 f9 b4 M 320
2 r: W( j7 J0 X/ |  J  Z/ H 28
4 P# V7 ~5 w  d; C 31%

# x6 a5 i/ u- }/ v- EJun 2007
0 i+ p" M. _4 P( Z7 z; b NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
! [! p* m+ s% r3 g 328
22
38%
# \: k% m; i8 ]: c
) S& ]* B1 N0 V0 P" {+ F. LMay 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
415,000
& N7 Z* o) B# H" l- v 322
" k7 G' ]: ^4 z, r 19
+ E6 f: N3 E- V 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
8 P$ Z: A( e9 {- `0 u, z! b, G存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

1 J0 G0 K* W# G) c6 \
用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
9 N% M5 w: @" N- X2 h. l4 H5 u3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

7 r5 [- ~. B3 M) ?9 T
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

) i; x, \" l0 i& X4 f8 b新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

/ R& ~3 C& g* ?3 K) M就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

" w( V0 q" t$ n这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
; y; o; d8 g* u) D$ wDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

' o& a1 U8 j+ f8 @- _

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

0 H* N" H' A: P

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
' K: ~/ e% r( A% b" G5 s2 QIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
3 n  B% F# Q& @$ u. NHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
$ u) @# G, e& U1 ^& hHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

( g8 E& g' ?$ y8 u% r% R8 C
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
% S& ^) m* z4 X; \' E9 K/ cEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
  f( K3 I3 n! m; q; `! t3 t: D  r# UNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

( k- o$ \2 b1 {& k* k  T2 @# lQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表

' U9 L, w6 C" D+ J4 y  L1 u; U
8 G2 }0 ~" v) q' m% l" hI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

+ U5 ^- n- U" G3 X/ E

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
3 k$ l. x  K3 H, h8 k7 p2 ]3 w1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
" k. ~- G4 p$ _3 K; V! p3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

+ o) X7 A3 X" @1 y4 X. w$ c下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
! @6 T$ }9 ]& B. H# ]0 T# B
. e9 ?. I6 A) I1 k9 l7 R3 m' _

  b0 [3 X8 L; l/ ?* G; l8 f只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
+ ]" l" t' W. s看来，观察days inventory 更重要。