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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
) I8 ^9 j$ ~3 [8 w o' T/ WPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007% o. X2 ?' l, G4 s3 E8 {1 ~2 Y! ]0 s
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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. v% S9 i a) u2 `Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.6 \0 c: Z9 G& g) J$ c% d
, d, A: I6 `0 q+ H; t% p YResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen./ ?+ [! o8 ?( i9 u( g7 e5 y) {
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?3 Y! |, [. _. T& B
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.( ~' A" L; }7 {# C) A/ |
' |( o% w9 O8 B, |0 n; FLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."" K, F0 q+ Q& b- H
2 `: v8 x# ^% r( NWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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8 h/ m! N' |( h3 oA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.5 y6 j7 f n" c7 e- \7 C8 m
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.( L# M% A8 y o v$ k A
1 v9 |+ ]& d* `% P X3 c$ rThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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1 ~- R2 }# b! q: M# RA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."8 H6 d L3 ?# D0 \- Y7 R/ P+ d/ J
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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" D% ~$ O1 s0 [+ y" KBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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1 R9 _0 c; s9 l& e/ D6 I"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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