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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
N% m2 n& |7 Y" R' I7 Q( [Senior Vice-President,. q2 z. o" i, J) _
Portfolio Management# H! P$ O8 f+ A$ t
and Chief Investment Officer4 j. @0 Z- Y. H" @
/ y' ~7 u9 l H& N+ [8 Y# ^自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets- b6 V* s4 H+ n6 O- ^ l# s- G
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
7 z3 Q* n W5 B5 H, bran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the& a: w8 K5 f! i% b1 d5 u7 R1 y
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
4 Z) W8 D2 L3 _$ A! t: cphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
3 y& P) N) s% W$ K2 Iunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September! V$ y( n( o) K, b2 B
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble6 V! _6 X& l* ?% [ g
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit5 k) ^8 y' g+ Y6 K( F2 v3 d5 u3 d
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
0 u: a2 h8 F1 t) g$ `' Ifor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through2 j1 @5 x( c+ ~' N$ t
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
; L5 B r8 a- ^5 t. \5 |' @markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened2 G' |* t1 `; ?0 i# ^7 g. z& k
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more; W( ~3 d( ^. w8 d" g0 w# z
neutral risk positioning. |
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