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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its! P6 S, o5 @8 w* E: g
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is1 }7 X# {. z4 i/ {/ a @0 a
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing4 G7 X; {. Q. k' z
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European' X4 ^( ]2 V2 J
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from# c9 S; q2 w( F) x' N
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could! C" B( k4 H" \( E, ?
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of, c g/ H+ K! [/ r) b
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are% L% p8 O" _4 O; |* O: f
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
+ ] X* ]) u p: _; WBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative$ C R7 p4 J; a6 X9 v+ h
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
. d3 @5 P- S. x! s$ K- Crecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.6 M% J$ h1 {8 ]* l: E6 X
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
7 n% V- V+ g7 B# M' k: e2 J% M1 qof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
: N9 j' G! \/ _4 rperformance.$ b8 u. s$ C% q3 Y* e: V/ A9 n! d7 y
$ B, I0 t) P$ G: t$ q5 A7 yWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
3 x+ G1 u# n8 d$ v$ O2 j" zBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the* @4 E$ F a% T
considerable slack in the economy.* R* W% Z4 F* \# _, C6 Z
# D+ q5 u+ ~ S) v, ^9 VReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate' }& C$ P/ f# \" S6 y
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the0 A8 `9 u8 ~+ Z8 Y& v
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further5 M1 r! x* M5 t. ]
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
$ T) O- V+ H% HInformation note:( V$ n$ t+ u% q, j1 c
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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