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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 g; N% G' I* m# R P: | x. A9 D
" k0 t; o/ ^5 p7 J; ]- R6 NOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 V c% u2 q2 k7 v4 z7 n% hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 u4 |& g$ D4 S# F% O/ Y# F# l
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& B4 x2 L2 G' p2 @1 h( aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
3 N" M/ |/ n% V" {5 |0 k7 [
4 k% I) z6 z7 i1 F( \The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 n/ ~( X/ Y" h& r U& i! Z* w" tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: N" `0 k8 f5 I" [5 O7 \, m$ R K, oUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 M+ D- m" ]* b) H" K/ o( Z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' i' L- o5 O- r9 d4 P/ Z
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: } @, W1 h7 X! E) ^( s: Wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the4 n# G/ y/ K6 s% U0 U
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 c7 L+ S- y7 u P$ [) Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, P$ C, g. i# Y$ s' d% m6 B! f/ ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 p5 T% m6 {0 k& a: ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) w7 a w H( @: R" q5 yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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* ]7 h0 V- h: p/ [% M% U' ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 H; O% |& u' F
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! x* `( n4 Y( [ {
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; F# w6 y* N2 N! o: O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" v- i$ e' J' V+ Z9 _0 }# Fbalanced recovery.- c1 F; r% c6 E: E/ U
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! r/ F/ F$ e' R4 f* G+ s {! @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 r" _5 x# }; y2 wsupply.! Y1 c* M: g# E# t5 ?$ J v
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: p* F3 G" m0 Y9 x1 _- I) @* Eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) v$ Y+ M. \2 ~; x, R. [- hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 F" J. |# E. l/ g
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# c7 E+ e+ v3 t2 Y1 k
$ Z! F* }* a! R$ A+ A# r G. o$ [! cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ _9 s) ` o8 K% Q! ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" ~/ c, {$ q7 E0 l9 @& odevelopments.; |0 W; g& t+ Q |, h5 F/ Q$ Y, y
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Information note:
- p R* M7 G% aThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* N( x/ f8 U& R9 H7 F8 Xof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% g5 \( M7 A% E& R9 H% C$ B7 kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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