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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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8 J% [# J) g8 ROTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( `3 l+ X8 N5 G* m' y8 b0 B( [ s5 {rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# r Q x( L: r+ vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% [. F$ T/ e2 m' J
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 z1 S* T7 A% s$ T) z! X, Q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! s% K7 V, o, j) o% r
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 n( Z/ f. I6 V& qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. \: F7 W, d. O% q: ~3 g- [4 kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ q+ `# v" J/ R2 G! pIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 R+ X% t( j7 rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 M+ R5 s+ N% W) z0 u% pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 Y, C' l! p( m/ ]- u& [; i
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& |* m6 F9 S( `4 ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, p8 w: e! G+ M/ aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity A* l2 N5 K Z& R7 H- G. `
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 X, a$ X8 i/ W4 m4 `& Qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! `' a' ^8 z, [. mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 V$ X! a0 [. y. _
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 I" G* v; }! e3 b: j v9 {3 Qbalanced recovery.4 L1 s O* ^, u4 y" B* {, H2 {
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 N# \) F% b1 T2 |. V" T
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess7 M8 G' O/ z9 Z% B- D5 I# E, S
supply.
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( v& b. g& T2 D8 x. e4 UIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# F! z) x+ Q6 ]. B+ m4 Mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; c& p5 z/ I6 R+ L! p, p6 b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : J9 \5 G1 e) U9 z& {5 k
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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* ]3 }* V J. J( E' lGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% h" s) [8 A: n) C) w E: Vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# s8 k1 k5 T$ S$ K. Z
developments.
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+ x- n! q7 H; h1 J( dInformation note:; j# Y( t1 N3 ]3 Q* k) i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 T. I5 p B% M/ {8 V" |) B, w
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, C$ F: t& N/ X$ upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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