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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# p3 H3 ?4 z6 nOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ ?. j I# F! u: [rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 C R+ e+ V" ^, J) ~4 v' Lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% h s2 c3 K. z) U! L3 @& B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ _0 w% G& Q( f) M8 { T0 rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 T- W/ O+ t5 x4 `1 C7 `% O- ]* nUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, e5 j# |! ?. Z I! |# a( p7 R
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( O" W( D6 ] J1 @1 HIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 h1 g0 r' P5 P: u3 p& x5 Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 e [5 j7 R3 l( I4 y. o+ ?1 v" ^1 a4 {variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 x: U- ?. l2 B, {9 Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; A+ E/ e' u v; W; q
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 A$ S9 q% X" ~9 l. Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ D6 l3 c# T4 z, ~
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 w( F! ?) z4 T4 s1 u; a
9 V1 M8 h/ Q0 _0 ^5 l# a7 B3 K8 w2 LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 v* Q# f6 k; {5 I
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 D1 C5 }+ k6 @: q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. F( m, \1 C% n. B$ Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( D8 w# o+ G& X* gbalanced recovery.
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$ Q6 V7 `6 F3 V% A& w8 [CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 M! m' c# x W6 k6 {8 A6 W( V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' v6 ~0 k; F& {& I
supply.9 J! h8 ^4 b0 [# t2 M* x+ T! ^
* @ K/ S# l3 d- w: g- hIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 P+ h6 N" ^5 z. u8 l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( ]7 J; G1 d' a. V& z# zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- p8 p: P4 K& ~! ?$ C1 H$ Xsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 f5 x9 u8 \* istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" C2 x/ y, g" v2 ]7 h, I+ Q0 \
developments.8 h6 {2 X4 H/ }0 b; e
) L+ f/ e+ x' n" [* W' ]& ~, bInformation note:
$ `0 z1 Q5 U, ~4 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 _: e) P" b! |+ k$ r$ [2 Kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ L! c( K2 r: r- _# y
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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