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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 2 S T1 [( L2 _* c8 i
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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' S* h. f" A" `. g4 [; I% TNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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+ l+ X3 M2 M- }7 B9 L; N |9 f. _# UIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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# Y8 @5 x0 M$ @) ?"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 5 C, L8 W# w% Z# k/ H( m4 s
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." 6 H A8 N# T( ~+ Z! |% h6 e# j E# T
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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+ p, ^$ \" I0 T# N/ r+ f- aThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. / `" V a# _6 `' \& [" e0 I. x: L
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.9 l) ^0 C+ M; D* J) F" j
. c+ U! V7 f. q/ C" u9 H+ F! k7 m1 fCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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