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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 1 W; z1 T: H" P( r
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 6 M2 `$ T' d6 g8 h
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. & M; r' C/ B0 H! @$ s
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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6 g5 ^# L$ x- Z) h% }' yIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700./ l1 ]6 I: d4 G! _; h+ ~: e
$ |* A4 h+ q2 H"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 6 p/ d* P5 Z: ?& q, ?
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." " j9 Q( K) D7 `6 `4 E& H
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 9 {/ R' p) h7 G
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ' Q4 U, c# g, M3 U0 y9 x B6 J6 A
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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/ a1 r% \- r( M% i7 OCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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