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Oilsands an emerging global growth star( Q9 F2 _+ F; P; N5 f! z) M5 \* S2 o
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
& R; _, A1 |0 eGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
4 X. v5 Q: a2 cPublished: 2:37 am' N: W: H2 i0 R) |( s
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.; l! F- P' [% S' |& \ K
9 ~2 D4 O6 K s) K/ Y8 A. w: t) Q4 {Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.( b! e$ B# }& q" ]% b" O( _
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.. J+ J( m" M' G# D |
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2 o: A/ N1 G0 {* f5 zGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.) _' P) m, G) p; |. L0 c5 v! B7 ^
Larry Wong, The Journal9 S! ^8 V/ S& h i9 l' h
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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# R% ]: W! R7 f, Y% EExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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8 }! t) O) e: ]# u: @Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.# ?/ ?- a" F. [. x* T
\7 z3 B @: b# {( `While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
