Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
% t% i& ~1 Y4 i. `/ y! jMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

7 C% K' ?9 ~7 kDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
* K$ ^7 `! y% ?4 b" P7 D
& b. z0 B2 t' `+ M* \. G4 |Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
$ c* G4 G8 I+ T0 ]1 V0 t# p! K0 W
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
* v; C. c+ ~2 H; s9 T9 I% { 2328
  C( W& P3 n& T- d, _; p 717
442,752
( K3 \% s$ u: o 410,000
320
4 I% @7 n3 }( ` 28
# e! u8 i* g* Y0 ]+ D+ U8 D/ S2 G 31%
. x. K) q( h% n+ g2 X3 S
5 Z  D" z; \+ @3 v! K/ y2 TJun 2007
) ^! Q2 H7 e4 r NA
2661
! X% |& j) w" ~' A$ B' r# t 1011
" u+ d6 {; O$ w* O( T" V5 Z" j 442,817
409,000
5 {  V$ D- W5 s4 T 328
22
38%

May 2007
NA
" A5 `4 i1 j3 h) V 2288
1261
) m: j5 x! \1 _8 l( B& c 451,216
415,000
322
19
2 K! I  v, I, |  I9 ]- { 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
  U0 w) \) |; k7 e鉴定完毕！

2 S3 s+ |. v  O  Q' r$ p  `+ b用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

. }  t+ z8 q; Z1 W. m4 ]$ ]' w+ ^; y就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

( |* q3 }- _* X

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
6 F. p; V: v4 B; H9 q, Y/ dDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
5 R% s1 F# P/ k7 ]; O9 C& E3 cThat is what i say half full or half empty.
5 g4 s7 o5 T7 o1 rgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
0 c* @1 |; @" i% t) Z3 g: yIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
4 h% i- Y' a! j. \) x4 a. W0 TIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

; R9 t) y% t5 R7 D* E& V
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
  p& E8 e/ a% L* J+ H. x8 N2 f4 OEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
' t, P6 l& o  w6 n1 T9 e. m; r. C" YIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
, Q8 A/ [8 a5 @1 P% W* G* \
# _5 b% b1 `! Z
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：


0 W- [5 C7 I: j
' [4 @6 P. {9 P只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
7 x3 O. \% T+ c4 U看来，观察days inventory 更重要。