Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
& X: a* q  N$ v4 QNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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5 Y( ]# s$ z9 y+ K! @3 jDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
% p( c, o1 {. c% e% G# \
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
/ U. ^! M- [- {( U/ m8 Y- t8 P3 v6 m  {
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

- X3 c2 i' A+ Z0 D1 i# p! JAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
* }  n% k% |3 |* c, e# m
- b& r+ u+ B: Y$ I: _Jul 2007
NA
$ Q9 V4 t, C7 v6 c3 Y1 k) C' i$ B 2328
717
% B1 Y8 E6 `6 j7 F0 x& G. e4 x$ r 442,752
1 X4 l; i: G' F- L7 z1 N* m+ G 410,000
# F, k; q/ J) Z, r5 s 320
' O0 X6 |/ P, f1 |" G 28
31%

Jun 2007
NA
2661
/ x. u% r# R3 [3 i! A4 r$ {& v 1011
442,817
3 c8 W/ ]# Z; f) \' r  H9 ^ 409,000
; W5 ~+ W( t6 ?) e2 _5 a7 K 328
22
! T9 }  K3 q& q' T) Q  j- c 38%

May 2007
NA
* s) P2 j7 X' V: E/ ?- Y 2288
1261
0 \- ?$ A% `( K: G( ] 451,216
415,000
2 p: Y2 S5 d; `' T2 P9 I* F0 f 322
19
; ]& d, h4 p" k) Q 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

% ~8 v% h# }+ x! n% ?0 M" |用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
) t% J0 f/ J6 {/ H" @鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

9 X% E0 Y" x9 C7 X! n0 G% Q这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

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紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
! y: A0 I, I0 h* f7 JDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

5 ~* H$ X- d3 B* S

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
8 D- i  N3 L3 i8 {% FIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
# C- S+ \+ y6 F6 @/ n5 T0 gHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
0 ?, {; B9 M; s# y# Y  [That is what i say half full or half empty.
6 S  v4 g# Q4 kgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
5 _3 ]' @/ Y3 r! hIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
% }, Z: H, x: m6 o/ bHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
9 b4 `7 w. Z2 HEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
/ h2 R" F/ o5 v/ @; zIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

1 Y0 h8 G7 S  e7 W( W# pQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
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8 }1 B2 }! B. t. kI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

2 b* s/ t: B/ c5 \& R

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

4 h: ?$ e, b8 k4 _
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
1 y+ h% ?; M1 {3 f2 M& p, _$ z
+ J: P8 U! P* m2 A

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
2 ]  K7 D# X9 F1 f1 d) _; c1 j看来，观察days inventory 更重要。