Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
) ~  V* f3 g: Z' B' oMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

# M# {& u+ ^0 ^8 G7 EDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

/ e5 o9 H- f; P" X- M+ tOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

6 B9 L; C: R# P( k( _Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
, b: s) W, s( w2 l
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
, P9 L& b9 a2 A* g& G5 J9 |  E  E
Jul 2007
# {/ G9 x& s8 b; j NA
2328
717
8 x8 J' k. W/ y 442,752
! z7 X+ K3 q* [$ ^* } 410,000
320
28
! s0 f6 x2 O# g2 C 31%

* B' ~1 x9 w- k, J9 u6 n% R! J1 hJun 2007
6 b/ [2 u2 A! q6 F5 a6 d- A NA
" h# n; [) b2 [! }/ z; q6 b 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
' k/ @$ b" X. c4 U- |5 }% `, ]# { 328
22
  T  l3 U7 ^, j( y+ o4 h6 N 38%

May 2007
NA
+ E  l7 O5 D, m. Y 2288
- N1 b: a# c5 N* J9 Z 1261
8 b' o, B4 a$ v9 o9 x4 _3 S1 u 451,216
6 n3 ~* w9 F2 Z3 _. s' v% R 415,000
322
% g: H7 E4 Z7 G8 D& J- ? 19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
& q: }* ^' ]! V- b7 V鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
0 t: c4 ^) ]# l) h1 s6 G6 i这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
6 v* x. o! L; b+ s鉴定完毕！

$ F1 b6 _4 ^& Q用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
& z& D) `! A8 v* K+ o鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。
* }4 }1 W5 S8 P3 |; j: r
- G5 F9 H* U2 k8 m新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

3 t3 b) `; Z5 n5 ~3 J. ^就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

  n. y/ G+ D$ x6 p: g这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
% {$ {% G5 [! lDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

7 _0 C2 e* O& w1 V

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
5 h2 L: f4 O! q1 z7 uIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
  w' N/ f+ I; Y9 f( j4 EHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
  o6 B' w0 ~0 c1 U+ V! w( }. jIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
5 d( l$ N1 E3 U- r/ ]Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
* {7 v+ k: V/ [; d, y& O, w' aNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

* _! J0 h) b! n' ?1 b+ O+ {5 ^QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
) @: s2 u# |. j; a
! d# p  k5 ^1 N$ L2 {. U" H
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

, S- e5 ^9 c/ t* H

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
9 R+ P# P# p6 G" S7 [4 E1 L1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
! V1 D3 b& ]% F! r) ^/ N% [* S5 _) H) Z3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

* W; w7 g5 [3 L7 F' W) Y

. Y# U3 S0 z) e7 d+ G; ~6 F只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。