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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
T' z/ W% Y% t+ w* g* c4 H6 {/ BPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007# |, d" T5 H% u, y! d
$ Z# \1 f. C* G3 \+ ?$ m7 DEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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4 R3 i3 |1 q( r5 XLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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7 n1 [3 `( y7 t# S4 q. R$ i9 TNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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9 k0 _: {( Z5 p3 ~Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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0 ^2 b' P& ^5 T1 b. ~/ X: `1 ~When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.6 z4 O0 X' @7 a/ e4 q) |
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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0 y2 _( l0 u5 J9 l4 sThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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0 P, {4 [& a0 H6 s! KA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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; k: m. a1 q) m4 O0 G k3 `4 fAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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! |6 \9 J: ~. E% g8 d/ RThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.6 n+ X# d! w/ Y6 t
( o$ g! Q8 {% r/ \" H3 _"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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