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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
8 j% x4 n4 J, @0 TPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 20072 l1 Q2 l' b6 t' k
% J% ?0 u2 F3 r( M$ {EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.* v: p& Z$ v( k9 d; m g9 `
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.2 }( [% |$ M( t8 q/ n
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?! q. x M3 i( B' ^; x0 N7 l# s! }
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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6 @) X: m' {( [Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."2 \" v# v# c+ L( q
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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( W' U: V# V3 G/ _" |$ ~A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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- v" n# @$ n" ?$ a! mThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.! w: r1 c3 @' `8 `; A/ j
1 ^; l" V& Z8 W( L/ z/ h0 l- N( S% }2 R1 fThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."- ?* K, K" k# }+ Q
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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" T- R5 r, ~: Y( f, m+ X"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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