Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds

dave2004

Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds
9 f7 `8 p* `& h+ F2 ^Affordability gap grows  
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Financial Post
( k7 o8 x/ |6 kPublished: Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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) m+ m" d" m. M  q' Y3 _8 MWhy own a house when you can rent the same property for a lot less?

7 m; I0 G9 q' v* a+ BA new study from Bank of Nova Scotia says the pendulum has swung back in favour of tenants.

3 g8 D% n2 c# T7 Y% W6 s8 L& R  B"The affordability gap between renting and owning is at its highest level since 1990," said Adrienne Warren, senior economist with the bank.
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The study found the average monthly mortgage payment in Canada in 2005 was $1,304 based on a $250,000 house with 10% down payment. That compares with an average rent of $731 for a typical two-bedroom apartment last year. That $573 gap is projected to climb to $800 in 2006.
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3 @; z1 G& q) K5 S( w: X"This is a fairly typical pattern that you see in housing. As house prices move up, affordability becomes an issue for first-time buyers," said Ms. Warren, adding renting becomes a more viable option.

8 Q" x. j  u/ u) Q6 ?  x7 eThe current gap between owning versus renting would be even wider if the Scotiabank report took into consideration home ownership issues such as taxes and general upkeep.

Ms. Warren predicts a slowdown in the housing market with a tighter rental market leading to increased rents. "We will see a levelling off of vacancy rates. I don't think we will see landlords offering the same incentives, like free rent for a month," she said.

3 n6 W9 W, u; A2 K) j; nOne problem with the national number is it masks major regional differences, she said. The gap between owning and renting varied wildly across the country from a $31 monthly premium in Winnipeg in 2005 to $1,220 in Vancouver.
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Generally though, the trend across the country is home ownership costs are rising faster than rental rates.

7 f) k: G% K3 U( d6 A2 ], B% XBetween 2000 and 2005, rental costs have increased nationwide at a 1.3% annual pace. During the same period, home ownership costs nationwide increased 2.7% annually.
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One side affect of declining affordability has been a slew of new mortgage products that have had the effect of lowering the monthly carrying costs of a loan. More and more consumers are buying products that allow them to pay off their mortgage based on a 35-year payment plan as opposed to a 25-year plan, which had been the norm for years.
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Ms. Warren noted that the $1,304 monthly mortgage costs for a $250,000 home with a $25,000 down payment would go down to $1,073 per month under a 35-year plan.
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Real estate author Don Campbell said there is no question renting has become a better deal for consumers over the last few years. "When interest rates come back down, the pendulum will swing back to the homeowner," he said.

3 Q3 v5 z! j5 e) tHowever, Mr. Campbell said apartments are affected by rent controls in many markets.

4 l3 p* n' l) |- p"In markets in the West, where it is not as controlled, rental rates are starting to take off. A two-bedroom unit in a 1970 building in Fort McMurray is $1,500, and that's in the middle of nowhere. Even basic townhouses in Edmonton that rented for $800 last year are up over $1,000," he said.
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Disclaimer: This is just published research data and do not express my position.