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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup8 U: d2 r0 y9 b% S& n5 _
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7 u1 H2 i% E6 d% K4 ~# sEric Bushell( {9 U% `' }5 L( z3 ]6 V# d
Senior Vice-President,; S5 Q: Y, L9 F, G
Portfolio Management! o$ ?' B& B. s$ \/ `
and Chief Investment Officer2 X1 }. ~: j! R
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets8 r* g: `" {6 j( l; j; D
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase/ a1 \: B+ [/ V% M( X; p+ t
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the, j: B5 o+ _& j3 y
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second+ B$ J1 G' S! |+ b8 q( L7 L
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an9 p. Q3 o: }- x* P
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September; E* Y& P# B/ q; ~
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
( p1 c8 R, Z: G1 K7 Efor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit# V% U) |/ |! w8 Z& ^4 Q
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
1 ]3 H/ ]! u& ~for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
1 Q8 d/ [# r+ @0 v6 c3 v* ]- ^) V' |U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond7 k5 f( r& t I4 R4 f( l/ L( P/ B4 r
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
% P4 D; A* w) b9 Duncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
+ K' r O' o4 p3 z4 Mneutral risk positioning. |
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