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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.2 `) h. ^! o% C2 R5 m) M7 P
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its4 O* f: A7 i3 @2 {' u+ q, y
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is- `6 x( {' s+ Y
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing1 b9 Z' M' }& P0 L% t/ z$ h
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European. O6 j) j3 X" p! U5 F
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from. c; i" }+ O! l
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could* q! ^" b& f* V( b k# }
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of5 _: K0 Y% A" w1 o: k$ N9 T
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are& v$ C9 B. m, V8 M
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
" A# x# u: u/ `4 wBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative3 k/ b" ~( \) Y' q6 F( O7 A: b8 O$ i) O1 w
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a/ e! a% w( w, ^1 i" s( |. V, _
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
; E4 P+ H R( r5 S( V! W" {" T5 bHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects: V& m7 C8 Z: i$ b
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity) M! m8 h. u* B6 }6 f) ~6 O
performance.7 a: T( {4 K; b# j1 U! j+ X5 t- X; O
, ~% p& o, g9 y% YWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
; x- `, D( s$ ~$ b& h- TBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the6 ]' c1 k/ J: Q5 H: k
considerable slack in the economy.$ L7 V2 U/ F$ _& b" [. v3 f) o
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate; m% v! \# }; p1 i7 Y9 p9 V- C
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
+ a$ H- ?# R5 v# c% ?2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further3 s$ G8 F6 X7 F
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.; a) ^' ~! A" s* x( m* s0 E9 h5 i7 S
Information note:
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n/ o! i0 t1 R& @The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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