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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
* J( ]8 l' o" D& h" w; g* [ ?8 ?3 DJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
7 u% U" K( k; T- u4 c7 O" Hsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing C- l4 e: H& K4 R1 P4 D! F
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
0 P8 T7 H- E$ V* w: Srecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from* e9 f" i: a% `7 _. K7 H
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
8 ^! Q- E; V3 F( j- K& a) p' {6 Lbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of' S' Z* L/ ?5 y0 x0 k9 B
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
# {, A( s+ U1 A4 `8 `& T( a/ xsigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.% [ g. v8 G6 O. j
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
; a% U! N6 l7 O& V2 y8 F. M3 cfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
2 u- E D0 b1 T0 f: L9 Wrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.2 t& |& p" G3 o0 e( s
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects! E0 l' B+ j4 l# e3 Y
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity7 e1 ?4 u3 K- W. A& z* _
performance.
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% i! @; E* M5 w S% |While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
' r& N6 R! @/ M9 y( K1 YBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
- V* N& d5 d) m( Q' S$ Wconsiderable slack in the economy.8 n) O7 u, n7 T$ L/ Y7 Z. z9 E
& T: C0 `8 S- z) y, TReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate" S* p* D0 x% W+ |! d* ^8 Z
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
# r5 G8 ~9 h$ b% s2 m5 @0 E. m2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
9 _3 {( J$ V" j$ `) Breduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.9 \1 u1 V+ ^* o* o: H
Information note:
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5 U" r/ p1 B- L2 v9 ?( \' q! hThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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