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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.% h. P. J6 N% t% p6 i; d% ~# {) ^
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its0 X0 q0 m4 p9 j" o+ K. M% Q8 a% _
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
* u: ], W' P% G8 e) D) Wsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
. p! P P- ]$ W2 a7 D# Dchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
, I. `0 r. F0 {. M0 i+ ]( \recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
% T' N" }1 T4 W1 g! eemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could' k( n- r/ t$ ?6 c
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
( u5 j9 ^) z9 h/ N% V Jthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are! C2 j" j3 @$ G+ _$ s
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.! t! @ X) e7 {' i+ D) j
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative: }; h) x- F6 c$ {
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a7 ^* J, Z/ ~2 z4 d4 f/ k3 O
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.5 D& ?+ ^3 u( d- k/ ~5 c
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
R! G" q% d M. J1 Cof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity$ k: `& i. h2 ]( M. x! @. ]1 v& Y
performance.9 G6 ~) s, g% [2 |" E
4 j& [, B6 R5 w; d8 j; ^ lWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
: N% {/ d, A" k; I, Z' KBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the- d' ?* R$ ^. V# Y7 d) E
considerable slack in the economy.
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' q6 b) P, J0 K" M; t3 lReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
4 b J; x; ~; x9 Dat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the% ?' }' }7 B+ G* ~4 X, Y: x( a* |
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further! s# f- J9 K9 A$ |
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
) g: x7 i# T" p( HInformation note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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