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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 E$ x' b# [2 B+ r2 P8 T+ B
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 P7 J! _3 L& E5 a$ krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 J0 n) [1 ]3 R8 U$ Z7 vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 m/ b9 _! v. ]# S1 W6 P& J- C/ O: Foperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. z* F# E9 A, v9 M; H/ F
; t9 ]/ U: g! A% zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( m O6 d+ P1 w2 f0 Zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 L1 k( Y0 j7 M2 Y- XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( K. Q5 m, r9 D, fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# g# A8 V0 L$ q7 R1 \
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
% h. G, Q; n. Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 H: Y: m2 t. }' cvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 S$ A) Q' E' C0 W" Vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! e5 [; l0 W/ j: }( o; W1 |9 @9 n
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 T# F7 I$ D% Y" c4 a: y% H
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 q# U8 J# ?+ s- Z( s, j
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% K* N) p6 T9 e6 h& e0 J
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 Q! ]/ q: X# K+ F8 ZGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 f8 i7 P" F5 fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* S9 `: D% J" x9 j T6 r* n/ a- W
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* p& _+ f$ I8 A9 ~+ _
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: I u2 F+ i' i0 R7 Y, D' {
supply.
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" _! t* k! n! j; F2 M' {+ [In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 G. g; S5 z$ U4 A o7 B w: F6 V! u0 vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 [! n! A+ w' Q4 o- z6 e3 {$ bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! n( X3 i+ m. s& {( o
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 }* N9 s. @2 C) {6 `7 j2 i' b
7 S$ J- a! O( ^; ^( v: u3 eGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ Y$ ~; H2 Y. D$ z% {5 z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 Q$ H8 Q: Y- H, h$ k; a: odevelopments.
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Information note:" L5 P' ^3 m! u5 `2 v1 Z
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" p# Y* M8 \8 T* y+ mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" g" j. u: F: J4 k$ [7 g
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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