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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( `- V; j2 O, n3 _6 |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# t0 D) D& E9 ~5 e7 q4 draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& [6 k' q0 I3 g7 z9 `& @+ P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 |; M# R% N* h, u2 istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 H9 w! n( x, H' PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 R2 W% k2 `, q" O. din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* I, b- ?0 @& c, h6 p
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' |& a" I- D- Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 `: n8 u3 R! E; Z- [# |variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 J& ]3 ?; c- T
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 m, s `) m( Z9 C9 y0 T6 |1 _( B8 Y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- E* s: B$ K5 Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ R1 z! J! p! T# f0 L ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 z |. O/ D* V: @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' D4 y" l: f5 \+ K) X4 }; _: a! PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 U/ z: C8 |( S) Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 m; ~+ y/ S. x$ s/ h4 ibalanced recovery.0 V+ J- k4 v4 a7 i2 z( {* v( [
5 X( f! \; {) R( aCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' q2 C/ b+ y$ J- Q) _# Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" J) M# q' k) q( |. t
supply.
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5 J8 d, x/ C* Z6 [- `2 @8 x$ iIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ S6 I9 W: v' ]- f. s
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % e$ H% N/ x$ }# g: @/ K
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" P8 H. N# Y% V, ?) E( _5 H1 \5 }" k3 t- Z, Hsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) C! z8 ?$ [" u# y; k( }. k `
$ s4 n, f. m' [1 l/ b- J$ R( N7 v# yGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: h* R/ o. M5 e% @4 Fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# g: R4 N- L9 T7 W5 [
developments.
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Information note:
4 F) E! H0 }4 g# }. UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 N; Z T! c5 A- E: ?- J& M
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 z7 @& a9 U# e/ R/ d
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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