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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# Z7 }1 y `5 Y! L: f' u6 d
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; e! y" t! e( mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ H4 K& V" Y' B1 _# \, `+ j
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# H4 ?8 c! J5 o( F
7 m9 P8 V7 f/ ]8 g( m1 g" yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& z$ q/ |% L4 n! o9 Ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 Z7 L3 S* T3 v1 [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" ^5 S. N5 X* f, Y/ t0 L8 m$ U- g
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 D! K7 {2 I5 m7 l4 z) JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 p( B! M# J! F, i- s" I
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: ~' `2 _: [5 @( b: f8 Q" X' Fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. d, T3 W2 S9 J; t& sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- [+ V3 n# J+ I1 f5 A. kimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 N( q1 `0 P$ ?. ?5 Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 w: W' G/ U+ X( U* m5 Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.- @2 [5 x' t9 Y/ A( \/ G
8 r& Y! m2 Z+ L( @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 k2 T: L2 c+ p2 \3 ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. x# z7 L1 c. s. ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& w* }2 e% _# M$ i ?2 H; F* pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 u6 H- e* r. w3 N/ F7 c& l
balanced recovery.3 L0 c+ ^- e! I* @* V" K5 K
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 Q/ e8 [) r. V$ R! n
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 D6 r" \0 ^1 q% E( ]- xsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 E, A( h2 J+ s4 c6 ~2 `to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
n4 i2 y) F1 ^, Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 P3 j' h; B( k6 @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary# ^( X; p& b. f% g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
v) x4 p: d+ h9 C4 W- jdevelopments.8 h# E8 N1 p U9 Y% I. j
5 B7 B. L0 |7 w; T9 K, UInformation note:
( | K. C; M4 x8 X2 M/ C( BThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- i, e5 e0 J9 o* G+ B3 uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# c* R1 \- G0 ^
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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