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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday." j- P) f) }) d- C& C
4 q' ?1 C( R; \$ `0 T1 v' h: k6 rThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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2 w, q; T8 Y: G' s% O$ U4 {6 tUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.; L! M" y ?2 i- P( S8 |4 J
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.% r T; E; N' T0 Y+ D. T0 K( x
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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+ L- X: u/ [8 Y1 YCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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