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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. , S4 i# u0 ~8 t- N
# g L4 O a' |# BThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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3 O- O3 S$ h7 BThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 9 H% F+ t0 q# k+ s, |$ O5 F
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.) L/ H3 c) b- J+ }' ^/ c/ d
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. # W' t/ O/ i3 I
$ `: g' h) o- J% J/ L8 n0 S# sHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." B& a( u0 n: O# Y( w" H8 S, C
( x) o1 E- T) vIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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' A. @# Y8 i* }0 O% JThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 0 x( _' U: x: _ G/ s
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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, J5 R0 y; n5 XCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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