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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. # y5 @; C, T! l% y U6 e/ _
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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# p6 O. H2 `0 u( K7 E1 OThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.6 s: H k' Y( L! ~
" e2 q, \+ m$ B"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." : ~5 N* O# }8 o1 p( {* ?" l' u1 M
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 k6 U" e3 G( `" ?" Y: e3 @
* m( D- Y/ E/ i/ v. t4 Z" g' V+ w. LThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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! |$ o( \& \1 r% Q: g' y. _7 yThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.9 Q9 I& c3 Y' {- _
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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