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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ) j4 K2 t; k, R7 S3 ]: M
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 3 E8 R+ d" w0 s6 i
2 O$ C" p7 p1 B6 X0 W% D( AThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year., A5 R* c$ p* |* G% ?3 c' y3 w9 D
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 5 s* J4 R; d& H2 K" ?- ]" n7 D
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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# o% S& ~6 _* P: d+ |It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. - ?7 x' B5 b; ~ e O/ L8 o
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.+ e6 H# T% b0 L1 u( D4 b
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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