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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. . m! F! [7 T; o
2 z& {. Q' |) z) B$ t1 vThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. : A' P3 |7 w5 @4 d- Y
& c6 ^8 H0 K0 i* S- hThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. - j: C; m4 {" X+ b0 `
6 P8 U1 i2 P9 `) U7 T% MNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year. K& k& @2 c( o3 y( c$ t
! G3 n7 j" u7 G5 G/ N; d/ h; w1 iIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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+ o: x( F$ H! k$ Z! {7 Y"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 3 D% {/ f. o1 W: C. v" N4 b
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 6 i6 X( m; j- C
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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9 Z( q3 o3 [1 R0 U2 q4 iCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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