Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
# O6 d: r8 U7 l8 y/ c" sMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
+ Z% i' A- w5 X* EIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
" F% D) B. T! h$ TNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
( [" w8 ~5 O1 Z& z
" K$ K% D/ R$ f  f2 m3 T" A  z7 V- DOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
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) A0 O. M3 S9 @* U5 |# d- s5 M0 mSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
& {$ f4 c/ ]2 p6 a
7 ^7 w: [% W( A! s/ r# f% O. mAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
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& ], a/ P) I4 ^3 j' OJul 2007
NA
2328
9 M2 X* ?. f2 l. _' Z0 r 717
442,752
410,000
320
28
31%
2 J, j1 ?. o! e4 t' R2 R1 V
0 W0 L) \$ c3 j1 dJun 2007
* Y# ~  e- G) e9 U NA
0 i) n- a% Y9 M' E( g) r 2661
* v, }- H! H2 S7 `, @0 H, V8 f, x 1011
' @, E" y( d* r  L! Q 442,817
409,000
328
22
38%
5 M, ]/ G$ X" g: v% |
May 2007
+ @, D+ k3 \+ r! H8 K NA
2288
1261
3 v) ^' ]6 O4 f. V/ I 451,216
415,000
322
4 B1 T4 q7 L( B 19
7 m0 r6 |0 O! n% @3 Q# j( \ 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
; l  G, z) O* |存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
9 ^$ R  J' ^* F! U. T2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
& [0 L8 S/ j& T: j) r0 R4 S0 g3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
5 ]$ g4 R: ~- b: Y存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

8 f- v) H/ e& \/ \* z8 o呵呵，太不专业了吧。
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新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
2 P& L7 R9 f" T& c9 ]7 x
" @( \/ T: V5 x% ?7 w就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
6 P- H: \0 |$ g4 q' b2 C  V3 BDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

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紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
! ?4 o1 p% V. h8 CDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

5 b! I2 _( g5 J  e' M% ?8 X

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
% [3 g6 n  {* v! K8 X' w0 qIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
& S, p& J9 I. k$ XThat is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

7 H3 ^, G& i4 [( W9 \9 x! m6 r
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
# Q5 K+ \' }* T  cEdmonton Single Family Home
  L0 f3 V: e8 R: Y1 PMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

8 F) {$ U/ @) B* B+ NQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
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( u) y0 S6 D- x" }! u; `9 O
9 _, [+ ?& m: I- zI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
" M; R5 M  p4 u2 h& Z/ t3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

5 f3 o# f" a/ G0 g0 {" s4 ]4 |! L$ U
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

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4 R3 ^; X5 a, I. y4 c3 K只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。