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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.. b. v" Y0 _( q0 j9 ]& S
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
9 n) {; N3 y" B' F0 r5 W. r* mIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.6 H9 j0 g p0 B# ]
TD can give you 4.2%.( I0 H0 y9 p! j2 K4 R1 J( E
BMO can give you 4.3%.
1 p8 }% {8 \: j& g$ s8 S( X8 zRBC can give you 4.0%.
! K. G8 D( b* W9 H+ _/ T7 b. s(Roughly)4 \, z7 R* ^4 W0 C/ E* U
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.% w* K6 l- o1 C8 h+ r2 T% v
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
3 H3 ^* T4 z6 N& a+ A% q# |/ oAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
9 ~6 w3 o. @$ E- vFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
% X) p6 n2 }/ r: C) LRough calculation:
% i9 b( d; j7 H- ~2 RRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
}) J( T/ |; i1 E0 x- _: u) RBuy 10000 US cost you 105000
+ r( G' M' t4 q( D Y, cDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000! z$ m; V I( G" Z% d
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
9 T: y) ^# Y& _9 h1 J+ H" R$ ^If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.1 c3 D4 y5 ~. G0 h8 z3 m
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.9 [ m4 F z: i. `8 {2 C
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.9 F, g; z2 Q$ g7 [) v
: k, g* w" `& T/ _" b0 Y3 hAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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