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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.- y4 ~) ?. k3 `" {
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.; N+ h+ m; s5 m) @% `
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
6 Y4 o( X. Z" E7 F3 S, ]7 STD can give you 4.2%.
5 F5 b3 b. L# WBMO can give you 4.3%.2 k9 D5 S9 p3 U* N9 E
RBC can give you 4.0%.
- }5 F; y9 t, B& a(Roughly)
& p! M/ \3 n7 U9 H" V" ~! ~/ ^& u( CIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.1 i& }6 R8 U. u. O9 i6 T2 `
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.8 M! } o7 }0 l% A1 W; c
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
7 m8 n5 q( W" k1 D" O- G4 |From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
. J. w c4 H5 K7 {( nRough calculation:
) x9 {( X$ F8 `' tRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03. Y% |3 z8 T. s/ w2 a w$ Y4 ?
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000# L3 I0 q( Y2 p/ b
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
( c$ t2 y1 h! }& n; q9 R6 M" wIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.$ c6 Q: V# ~* H* ^
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD./ l! Q% B( J+ S$ u! m/ Z! ]( D
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.9 I# Z. }; x& T) Q+ x1 h8 N
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2007-9-16 10:59
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